Tag: pointspread

NFL Power Ratings

10/12/2022 / / 556 Comments

As of 10/12/2022

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it.

Buffalo continues to be far ahead of any other team. That lofty rating will be put to the test as the Bills face No, 2 Kansas City this Sunday.

1	Buffalo		-8
2	Kansas City	-4.5
2	Philadelphia	-4.5
4	San Francisco	-4
5	Baltimore	-3.5
6	Dallas		-3
7	Cincinnati	-2.5
7	Minnesota	-2.5
7	Tampa Bay	-2.5
10	LA Chargers	-2
11	LA Rams		-1
12	Green Bay	0
12	Las Vegas	0
12	New England	0
15	Tennessee	0.5
16	Cleveland	1
16	Denver		1
16	New Orleans	1
19	Arizona		1.5
20	Indianapolis	2
21	Atlanta		2.5
21	NY Giants	2.5
23	Jacksonville	3
23	Washington	3
25	Detroit		3.5
25	NY Jets		3.5
27	Miami		4
28	Carolina	5
28	Chicago		5
28	Houston		5
28	Pittsburgh	5
28	Seattle		5

NCAA Football Power Ratings

10/11/2022 / / 483 Comments

As of 10/11/2022

NOTE: These are power ratings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Alabama and Ohio State are tied at the top, although the Tide drops significantly without a healthy quarterback Bryce Young.

Rk	Team			Power
1	Alabama			-31.5
1	Ohio State		-31.5
3	Georgia			-25.5
4	Michigan		-21.5
5	Tennessee		-20
6	Clemson			-18
7	Mississippi State	-17
7	Texas			-17
9	Penn State		-16.5
10	Mississippi		-14.5
11	USC			-14
12	Utah			-13.5
13	Oregon			-12.5
14	Cincinnati		-11.5
14	Texas A&M		-11.5
16	Arkansas		-11
16	Minnesota		-11
16	TCU			-11
19	Maryland		-10.5
19	Notre Dame		-10.5
19	Wake Forest		-10.5
19	Wisconsin		-10.5
23	Florida State		-10
24	Washington		-9.5
25	LSU			-9
25	Purdue			-9
27	Florida			-8.5
27	Kentucky		-8.5
27	Oklahoma State		-8.5
27	UCLA			-8.5
31	Baylor			-8
31	BYU			-8
31	North Carolina State	-8
31	Syracuse		-8
35	Kansas State		-7.5
35	Oklahoma		-7.5
35	Pittsburgh		-7.5
38	North Carolina		-7
39	Miami			-6
39	South Carolina		-6
41	James Madison		-5.5
41	UCF			-5.5
43	Iowa			-5
43	Louisville		-5
45	Air Force		-4.5
45	Washington State	-4.5
47	San Jose State		-4
48	Illinois		-3.5
48	Oregon State		-3.5
48	SMU			-3.5
48	West Virginia		-3.5
52	Boise State		-3
52	Iowa State		-3
52	Kansas			-3
55	Appalachian State	-2
55	California		-2
55	Marshall		-2
55	Michigan State		-2
55	Missouri		-2
55	Texas Tech		-2
55	Tulane			-2
62	Auburn			-1.5
62	UTSA			-1.5
64	Western Kentucky	-1
65	East Carolina		-0.5
65	South Alabama		-0.5
67	Houston			0
68	Memphis			0.5
68	Toledo			0.5
68	UAB			0.5
71	Coastal Carolina	1
71	Nebraska		1
73	Duke			2.5
73	Troy			2.5
75	Arizona			3
75	Liberty			3
75	Stanford		3
78	Indiana			3.5
79	Tulsa			4.5
79	Virginia		4.5
81	Navy			5
81	Rutgers			5
81	Virginia Tech		5
84	UNLV			5.5
84	Vanderbilt		5.5
86	Arizona State		6
86	Kent State		6
86	Northwestern		6
86	San Diego State		6
90	Army			6.5
91	Florida Atlantic	7
91	Louisiana		7
93	Buffalo			7.5
93	Georgia State		7.5
95	Boston College		8
95	North Texas		8
97	Georgia Southern	8.5
98	Central Michigan	9.5
98	Fresno State		9.5
100	Miami Ohio		10
100	Old Dominion		10
100	UTEP			10
100	Wyoming			10
104	Middle Tennessee	10.5
104	Rice			10.5
104	Utah State		10.5
107	Eastern Michigan	11.5
107	Georgia Tech		11.5
107	Louisiana Tech		11.5
107	Northern Illinois	11.5
107	Southern Miss		11.5
112	Arkansas State		12
112	South Florida		12
114	Ohio			13.5
115	New Mexico		14.5
115	Western Michigan	14.5
117	Ball State		16
117	Nevada			16
119	Louisiana-Monroe	16.5
120	Colorado State		17
120	Temple			17
122	Bowling Green		18
122	Colorado		18
122	Texas State		18
125	Charlotte		20.5
126	Connecticut		22.5
127	New Mexico State	24.5
128	Akron			25
129	Hawaii			26
130	Massachusetts		29.5
131	Florida International	36

NCAA Football Power Ratings

10/04/2022 / / 537 Comments

As of 10/04/2022

NOTE: These are power ratings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

A change at the top this week, as Alabama moves back into the top spot. For the first time, I have considered Ohio State as the best.

Regardless, with the uncertainty around the quarterback position for the Tide, and the mediocre play of Georgia for two weeks straight, there is a tightening at the top. A lot more teams can dream of a national title now.

Rk	Team			Power
1	Alabama			-29.5
2	Georgia			-27
3	Ohio State		-26
4	Michigan		-20
5	Clemson			-18.5
6	Tennessee		-16.5
7	Utah			-15
8	Penn State		-14.5
9	Texas			-13.5
10	Oklahoma		-12.5
11	Arkansas		-12
11	Cincinnati		-12
11	USC			-12
14	Mississippi		-11
14	Mississippi State	-11
14	Oregon			-11
14	Washington		-11
18	Kentucky		-10
19	Florida State		-9.5
19	LSU			-9.5
19	North Carolina State	-9.5
22	Minnesota		-9
22	Wake Forest		-9
24	Baylor			-8.5
24	Maryland		-8.5
24	Notre Dame		-8.5
24	Oklahoma State		-8.5
24	TCU			-8.5
29	Florida			-8
29	Pittsburgh		-8
29	Texas A&M		-8
29	UCLA			-8
33	Miami			-7.5
34	Iowa			-7
34	Kansas State		-7
36	Oregon State		-6
36	Wisconsin		-6
38	Louisville		-5.5
39	BYU			-5
40	Illinois		-4.5
40	North Carolina		-4.5
40	Purdue			-4.5
40	SMU			-4.5
40	Washington State	-4.5
45	Iowa State		-4
45	Michigan State		-4
45	UCF			-4
45	West Virginia		-4
49	Auburn			-3.5
49	South Carolina		-3.5
51	East Carolina		-3
51	South Alabama		-3
51	Syracuse		-3
54	Air Force		-2
54	James Madison		-2
54	Missouri		-2
54	Texas Tech		-2
58	Nebraska		-1.5
59	Boise State		-1
60	California		-0.5
60	Duke			-0.5
62	Kansas			0
62	Liberty			0
62	Tulane			0
65	Appalachian State	0.5
65	Coastal Carolina	0.5
65	Marshall		0.5
65	UTSA			0.5
69	Houston			1
69	Toledo			1
71	UAB			1.5
71	Western Kentucky	1.5
73	Fresno State		2
73	Memphis			2
75	Indiana			2.5
76	Stanford		3
76	Troy			3
76	Tulsa			3
79	Rutgers			3.5
80	Virginia Tech		4.5
81	San Jose State		5
82	Arizona State		5.5
82	UNLV			5.5
82	Virginia		5.5
85	San Diego State		6
86	Arizona			6.5
87	Northwestern		7
88	Central Michigan	7.5
88	Florida Atlantic	7.5
88	Georgia Southern	7.5
91	Army			8.5
91	Boston College		8.5
91	Navy			8.5
94	North Texas		9
94	Vanderbilt		9
96	Middle Tennessee	9.5
97	Georgia State		10
97	Kent State		10
97	Northern Illinois	10
100	Old Dominion		10.5
100	Southern Miss		10.5
100	Western Michigan	10.5
103	Arkansas State		11
103	Georgia Tech		11
103	Louisiana		11
103	Louisiana Tech		11
103	Wyoming			11
108	Buffalo			11.5
109	UTEP			12
110	Miami Ohio		12.5
110	Rice			12.5
110	South Florida		12.5
113	Utah State		14.5
114	Bowling Green		15
114	Nevada			15
116	Ohio			15.5
117	Ball State		16
118	Eastern Michigan	16.5
119	Colorado State		17
119	New Mexico		17
121	Temple			17.5
122	Colorado		19
123	Texas State		21
124	Louisiana-Monroe	22
125	Charlotte		23
126	Connecticut		24.5
126	New Mexico State	24.5
128	Akron			26.5
129	Florida International	28.5
130	Massachusetts		29
131	Hawaii			30

MLB Power Ratings

09/28/2022 / / 119 Comments

As of 9/17/2022

Here are the Lazy Man Sports current power ratings for Major League Baseball. This is intended to be a snapshot in time look at each team’s relative power. The number to the right indicates how many runs, on average, each team would net against a perfectly average team on a neutral field.

Rk	Team		Pow
1	LA Dodgers	1.34
2	NY Mets		1.02
3	Houston		0.89
4	Atlanta		0.88
5	NY Yankees	0.81
6	Toronto		0.69
7	San Diego	0.55
8	St. Louis	0.51
9	Tampa Bay	0.5
10	Milwaukee	0.49
11	Philadelphia	0.38
12	Seattle		0.37
13	Chi. White Sox	0.19
14	Cleveland	0.11
15	San Francisco	0.02
16	Boston		-0.06
17	Minnesota	-0.09
18	LA Angels	-0.17
19	Baltimore	-0.27
20	Miami		-0.28
21	Texas		-0.39
22	Arizona		-0.42
23	Chi. Cubs	-0.61
24	Colorado	-0.75
24	Kansas City	-0.75
26	Cincinnati	-0.91
27	Detroit		-1.04
27	Pittsburgh	-1.04
29	Oakland		-1.15
30	Washington	-1.19

NFL Power Ratings

09/28/2022 / / 110 Comments

As of 9/28/2022

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it.

I feel more confident of my ratings than I have at any point (which should be the case with more games played), but there are still some doubts about certain teams (hello Jacksonville!).

Rk	Team		Pow
1	Buffalo		-7.5
2	Kansas City	-4
2	Philadelphia	-4
4	Green Bay	-3
4	Miami		-3
6	Cincinnati	-2.5
6	LA Rams		-2.5
8	Baltimore	-2
8	San Francisco	-2
10	LA Chargers	-1.5
10	Tampa Bay	-1.5
12	Minnesota	-1
13	Denver		0
13	Indianapolis	0
13	Las Vegas	0
16	Cleveland	1.5
16	Dallas		1.5
16	Tennessee	1.5
19	Jacksonville	2
19	New Orleans	2
21	Detroit		2.5
22	Arizona		3
23	Pittsburgh	3.5
24	Carolina	4
24	NY Giants	4
26	Atlanta		4.5
26	New England	4.5
26	Washington	4.5
29	Chicago		5
30	Seattle		6
31	Houston		6.5
31	NY Jets		6.5

NCAA Football Power Ratings

09/27/2022 / / 251 Comments

Power ratings for every FBS football team (updated 9/27/2022)

NOTE: These are power ratings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Rk      Team                    Power
1	Georgia			-30
2	Alabama			-29
3	Ohio State		-25.5
4	Michigan		-16
5	Clemson			-15
5	Tennessee		-15
5	Utah			-15	
8	Oklahoma		-14
9	Penn State		-13
10	USC			-12
11	Minnesota		-11.5
11	Mississippi		-11.5
13	Arkansas		-10.5
13	Mississippi State	-10.5
13	Washington		-10.5
16	Cincinnati		-10
16	Florida State		-10
16	Kentucky		-10
16	Oklahoma State		-10
20	Baylor			-9
20	LSU			-9
20	North Carolina State	-9
20	Texas A&M		-9
24	Florida			-8.5
24	Oregon			-8.5
24	Wake Forest		-8.5
27	Wisconsin		-8
28	Notre Dame		-7.5
28	TCU			-7.5
30	Iowa			-7
30	Texas			-7
32	BYU			-6.5
32	Kansas State		-6.5
32	Michigan State		-6.5
32	UCLA			-6.5	
36	Air Force		-6
36	Maryland		-6
38	Iowa State		-5.5
39	Oregon State		-5
39	Pittsburgh		-5
41	West Virginia		-4.5
42	Miami			-4
42	UCF			-4
44	South Carolina		-3.5
45	Louisville		-3
45	North Carolina		-3
45	SMU			-3
48	Auburn			-2.5
48	Boise State		-2.5
48	Nebraska		-2.5
51	Illinois		-2
51	Washington State	-2
53	Missouri		-1.5
53	Purdue			-1.5
53	Syracuse		-1.5
53	Texas Tech		-1.5
57	Coastal Carolina	-0.5
58	East Carolina		0
58	Marshall		0
58	Western Kentucky	0
61	Fresno State		0.5
61	Houston			0.5
61	UTSA			0.5
61	Virginia Tech		0.5
65	Appalachian State	1
65	Indiana			1
65	Stanford		1
65	UAB			1
69	California		1.5
69	Kansas			1.5
69	South Alabama		1.5
72	Toledo			2.5
73	Arizona State		3
73	James Madison		3
73	Liberty			3
73	Memphis			3
77	Rutgers			3.5
77	Virginia		3.5
79	Troy			4
79	Tulane			4
79	Tulsa			4
82	Boston College		5
83	Army			5.5
84	Arizona			6
84	Central Michigan	6
84	Louisiana		6
84	San Jose State		6
88	San Diego State		6.5
89	Duke			7
89	Northwestern		7
91	Northern Illinois	7.5
91	UNLV			7.5
93	Miami Ohio		8
93	Vanderbilt		8
95	Florida Atlantic	8.5
95	Georgia State		8.5
95	Old Dominion		8.5
95	Southern Miss		8.5
99	Buffalo			9
99	North Texas		9
101	Wyoming			9.5
102	Georgia Southern	10
103	South Florida		10.5
103	Western Michigan	10.5
105	Georgia Tech		11
106	Arkansas State		11.5
106	Navy			11.5
108	Eastern Michigan	12
108	Kent State		12
110	Middle Tennessee	13.5
110	UTEP			13.5
112	Louisiana Tech		14
112	Rice			14
114	Colorado State		15
114	Ohio			15
116	Nevada			15.5
117	Ball State		17
117	Colorado		17
117	New Mexico		17
117	Utah State		17
121	Bowling Green		17.5
121	Texas State		17.5
123	Temple			18
124	Louisiana-Monroe	19
125	Charlotte		22
126	Connecticut		26
127	New Mexico State	26.5
128	Akron	                28
129	Florida International	29
129	Massachusetts	        29
131	Hawaii	                30.5

NFL Power Ratings

09/21/2022 / / 6 Comments

As of 9/21/2022

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it.

Plenty of fluctuation, due to the fact we are still very early in the season, and I am willing to make some bolder changes than I might be later on.

Rk  Team           Pow
1.  Buffalo        -8
2.  Kansas City    -4.5
3.  Green Bay      -4
3.  Philadelphia   -4
5.  San Francisco  -3.5
5.  Tampa Bay      -3.5
7.  LA Chargers    -3
8.  Baltimore      -2.5
9.  LA Rams        -2
10. Cincinnati     -1.5
10. Denver         -1.5
10. Las Vegas      -1.5
13. Miami          -1
13. Minnesota      -1
13. New Orleans    -1
16. Indianapolis    0
17. Cleveland       1
18. Arizona         1.5
18. Detroit         1.5
18. New England     1.5
21. Jacksonville    2
21. Tennessee       2
23. Dallas          3.5
23. Pittsburgh      3.5
25. NY Giants       4.5
25. Washington      4.5
27. Carolina        5
27. NY Jets         5
29. Atlanta         6
29. Chicago         6
29. Houston         6
32. Seattle         6.5

NFL Power Ratings

09/14/2022 / / 357 Comments

As of 9/13/2022

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it.

Rk  Team            Power
1   Buffalo         -8
2   Kansas City     -5.5
3   Baltimore       -4
3   Tampa Bay       -4
5   Denver          -3
5   LA Chargers     -3
5   LA Rams         -3
8   Cincinnati      -2.5
8   Philadelphia    -2.5
8   San Francisco   -2.5
11  Green Bay       -2
11  Minnesota       -2
13  Indianapolis    -1.5
13  Miami           -1.5
15  Las Vegas       -1
16  New Orleans     -0.5
17  New England      0
17  Tennessee        0
19  Cleveland        1
20  Arizona          2.5
20  NY Giants        2.5
22  Detroit          3
22  Pittsburgh       3
22  Washington       3
25  Carolina         3.5
26  Jacksonville     4
27  NY Jets          4.5
28  Chicago          5
28  Dallas           5
28  Seattle          5
31  Atlanta          5.5
31  Houston          5.5

NCAA FBS Power Ratings

09/14/2022 / / 107 Comments

Power rankings for every FBS football team (as of 9/13/2022)

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Rk   Team                   Power
1    Georgia                -29.5
2    Alabama                -26.5
3    Ohio State             -24
4    Michigan               -15.5
5    Clemson                -15
6    Oklahoma               -14.5
7    Utah                   -13.5
8    Tennessee              -13
9    Michigan State         -12.5
10   USC                    -12
11   Arkansas               -11
12   Oklahoma State         -10.5
13   Mississippi            -10
13   Mississippi State      -10
13   North Carolina State   -10
13   Penn State             -10
17   Kentucky               -9.5
18   Wake Forest            -9
18   Washington             -9
20   Baylor                 -8.5
20   BYU                    -8.5
20   Florida                -8.5
20   Minnesota              -8.5
24   Cincinnati             -8
24   Florida State          -8
24   Texas                  -8
24   Texas A&M              -8
28   Kansas State           -7.5
28   Notre Dame             -7.5
30   Wisconsin              -7
31   LSU                    -6.5
32   Miami                  -6
32   Oregon                 -6
34   Air Force              -5.5
34   Oregon State           -5.5
34   UCLA                   -5.5
37   Auburn                 -5
37   Maryland               -5
37   Pittsburgh             -5
37   SMU                    -5
37   TCU                    -5
42   Appalachian State      -4.5
43   Arizona State          -4
43   Houston                -4
43   South Carolina         -4
46   Coastal Carolina       -3.5
46   Iowa State             -3.5
46   Louisville             -3.5
46   Nebraska               -3.5
46   North Carolina         -3.5
49   Purdue                 -3.5
52   Fresno State           -3
52   Iowa                   -3
52   Texas Tech             -3
55   UCF                    -2.5
55   West Virginia          -2.5
57   Boise State            -2
57   Marshall               -2
57   Washington State       -2
60   Indiana                -1.5
61   East Carolina          -1
61   Illinois               -1
61   Missouri               -1
61   UTSA                   -1
65   Virginia Tech          -0.5
66   Boston College          0
66   California              0
66   Syracuse                0
69   Louisiana               0.5
70   Liberty                 1
70   Rutgers                 1
70   UAB                     1
70   Virginia                1
74   Stanford                1.5
74   Toledo                  1.5
76   Memphis                 2.5
76   Western Kentucky        2.5
78   Duke                    3
79   Kansas                  4
79   San Diego State         4
79   Tulane                  4
79   Tulsa                   4
83   Northwestern            4.5
84   Arizona                 5.5
84   Central Michigan        5.5
86   Army                    6
86   Troy                    6
88   Vanderbilt              6.5
88   Western Michigan        6.5
90   Georgia Tech            7
90   James Madison           7
92   Florida Atlantic        7.5
92   Georgia State           7.5
94   Miami Ohio              8
94   Northern Illinois       8
94   South Alabama           8
94   UNLV                    8
98   North Texas             8.5
98   Old Dominion            8.5
100  Utah State              9
101  South Florida           9.5
102  Colorado                10
102  Georgia Southern        10
104  San Jose State          11
104  Wyoming                 11
106  Navy                    11.5
107  Buffalo                 12
108  Nevada                  12.5
109  Kent State              13.5
110  Colorado State          14
110  UTEP                    14
112  Arkansas State          14.5
113  Eastern Michigan        15
113  Louisiana Tech          15
113  New Mexico              15
113  Ohio                    15
117  Southern Miss           15.5
118  Bowling Green           16
118  Texas State             16
120  Ball State              16.5
121  Middle Tennessee        18.5
122  Rice                    19.5
123  Charlotte               20
123  Temple                  20
125  Louisiana-Monroe        22
126  New Mexico State        25.5
127  Connecticut             26
127  Florida International   26
129  Akron                   28.5
130  Hawaii                  29
131  Massachusetts           31

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