Category: Power Ratings

NCAA Football Power Ratings

10/11/2022 / / 452 Comments

As of 10/11/2022

NOTE: These are power ratings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Alabama and Ohio State are tied at the top, although the Tide drops significantly without a healthy quarterback Bryce Young.

Rk	Team			Power
1	Alabama			-31.5
1	Ohio State		-31.5
3	Georgia			-25.5
4	Michigan		-21.5
5	Tennessee		-20
6	Clemson			-18
7	Mississippi State	-17
7	Texas			-17
9	Penn State		-16.5
10	Mississippi		-14.5
11	USC			-14
12	Utah			-13.5
13	Oregon			-12.5
14	Cincinnati		-11.5
14	Texas A&M		-11.5
16	Arkansas		-11
16	Minnesota		-11
16	TCU			-11
19	Maryland		-10.5
19	Notre Dame		-10.5
19	Wake Forest		-10.5
19	Wisconsin		-10.5
23	Florida State		-10
24	Washington		-9.5
25	LSU			-9
25	Purdue			-9
27	Florida			-8.5
27	Kentucky		-8.5
27	Oklahoma State		-8.5
27	UCLA			-8.5
31	Baylor			-8
31	BYU			-8
31	North Carolina State	-8
31	Syracuse		-8
35	Kansas State		-7.5
35	Oklahoma		-7.5
35	Pittsburgh		-7.5
38	North Carolina		-7
39	Miami			-6
39	South Carolina		-6
41	James Madison		-5.5
41	UCF			-5.5
43	Iowa			-5
43	Louisville		-5
45	Air Force		-4.5
45	Washington State	-4.5
47	San Jose State		-4
48	Illinois		-3.5
48	Oregon State		-3.5
48	SMU			-3.5
48	West Virginia		-3.5
52	Boise State		-3
52	Iowa State		-3
52	Kansas			-3
55	Appalachian State	-2
55	California		-2
55	Marshall		-2
55	Michigan State		-2
55	Missouri		-2
55	Texas Tech		-2
55	Tulane			-2
62	Auburn			-1.5
62	UTSA			-1.5
64	Western Kentucky	-1
65	East Carolina		-0.5
65	South Alabama		-0.5
67	Houston			0
68	Memphis			0.5
68	Toledo			0.5
68	UAB			0.5
71	Coastal Carolina	1
71	Nebraska		1
73	Duke			2.5
73	Troy			2.5
75	Arizona			3
75	Liberty			3
75	Stanford		3
78	Indiana			3.5
79	Tulsa			4.5
79	Virginia		4.5
81	Navy			5
81	Rutgers			5
81	Virginia Tech		5
84	UNLV			5.5
84	Vanderbilt		5.5
86	Arizona State		6
86	Kent State		6
86	Northwestern		6
86	San Diego State		6
90	Army			6.5
91	Florida Atlantic	7
91	Louisiana		7
93	Buffalo			7.5
93	Georgia State		7.5
95	Boston College		8
95	North Texas		8
97	Georgia Southern	8.5
98	Central Michigan	9.5
98	Fresno State		9.5
100	Miami Ohio		10
100	Old Dominion		10
100	UTEP			10
100	Wyoming			10
104	Middle Tennessee	10.5
104	Rice			10.5
104	Utah State		10.5
107	Eastern Michigan	11.5
107	Georgia Tech		11.5
107	Louisiana Tech		11.5
107	Northern Illinois	11.5
107	Southern Miss		11.5
112	Arkansas State		12
112	South Florida		12
114	Ohio			13.5
115	New Mexico		14.5
115	Western Michigan	14.5
117	Ball State		16
117	Nevada			16
119	Louisiana-Monroe	16.5
120	Colorado State		17
120	Temple			17
122	Bowling Green		18
122	Colorado		18
122	Texas State		18
125	Charlotte		20.5
126	Connecticut		22.5
127	New Mexico State	24.5
128	Akron			25
129	Hawaii			26
130	Massachusetts		29.5
131	Florida International	36

NCAA Football Power Ratings

09/27/2022 / / 248 Comments

Power ratings for every FBS football team (updated 9/27/2022)

NOTE: These are power ratings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Rk      Team                    Power
1	Georgia			-30
2	Alabama			-29
3	Ohio State		-25.5
4	Michigan		-16
5	Clemson			-15
5	Tennessee		-15
5	Utah			-15	
8	Oklahoma		-14
9	Penn State		-13
10	USC			-12
11	Minnesota		-11.5
11	Mississippi		-11.5
13	Arkansas		-10.5
13	Mississippi State	-10.5
13	Washington		-10.5
16	Cincinnati		-10
16	Florida State		-10
16	Kentucky		-10
16	Oklahoma State		-10
20	Baylor			-9
20	LSU			-9
20	North Carolina State	-9
20	Texas A&M		-9
24	Florida			-8.5
24	Oregon			-8.5
24	Wake Forest		-8.5
27	Wisconsin		-8
28	Notre Dame		-7.5
28	TCU			-7.5
30	Iowa			-7
30	Texas			-7
32	BYU			-6.5
32	Kansas State		-6.5
32	Michigan State		-6.5
32	UCLA			-6.5	
36	Air Force		-6
36	Maryland		-6
38	Iowa State		-5.5
39	Oregon State		-5
39	Pittsburgh		-5
41	West Virginia		-4.5
42	Miami			-4
42	UCF			-4
44	South Carolina		-3.5
45	Louisville		-3
45	North Carolina		-3
45	SMU			-3
48	Auburn			-2.5
48	Boise State		-2.5
48	Nebraska		-2.5
51	Illinois		-2
51	Washington State	-2
53	Missouri		-1.5
53	Purdue			-1.5
53	Syracuse		-1.5
53	Texas Tech		-1.5
57	Coastal Carolina	-0.5
58	East Carolina		0
58	Marshall		0
58	Western Kentucky	0
61	Fresno State		0.5
61	Houston			0.5
61	UTSA			0.5
61	Virginia Tech		0.5
65	Appalachian State	1
65	Indiana			1
65	Stanford		1
65	UAB			1
69	California		1.5
69	Kansas			1.5
69	South Alabama		1.5
72	Toledo			2.5
73	Arizona State		3
73	James Madison		3
73	Liberty			3
73	Memphis			3
77	Rutgers			3.5
77	Virginia		3.5
79	Troy			4
79	Tulane			4
79	Tulsa			4
82	Boston College		5
83	Army			5.5
84	Arizona			6
84	Central Michigan	6
84	Louisiana		6
84	San Jose State		6
88	San Diego State		6.5
89	Duke			7
89	Northwestern		7
91	Northern Illinois	7.5
91	UNLV			7.5
93	Miami Ohio		8
93	Vanderbilt		8
95	Florida Atlantic	8.5
95	Georgia State		8.5
95	Old Dominion		8.5
95	Southern Miss		8.5
99	Buffalo			9
99	North Texas		9
101	Wyoming			9.5
102	Georgia Southern	10
103	South Florida		10.5
103	Western Michigan	10.5
105	Georgia Tech		11
106	Arkansas State		11.5
106	Navy			11.5
108	Eastern Michigan	12
108	Kent State		12
110	Middle Tennessee	13.5
110	UTEP			13.5
112	Louisiana Tech		14
112	Rice			14
114	Colorado State		15
114	Ohio			15
116	Nevada			15.5
117	Ball State		17
117	Colorado		17
117	New Mexico		17
117	Utah State		17
121	Bowling Green		17.5
121	Texas State		17.5
123	Temple			18
124	Louisiana-Monroe	19
125	Charlotte		22
126	Connecticut		26
127	New Mexico State	26.5
128	Akron	                28
129	Florida International	29
129	Massachusetts	        29
131	Hawaii	                30.5

NFL Power Ratings

09/21/2022 / / 6 Comments

As of 9/21/2022

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it.

Plenty of fluctuation, due to the fact we are still very early in the season, and I am willing to make some bolder changes than I might be later on.

Rk  Team           Pow
1.  Buffalo        -8
2.  Kansas City    -4.5
3.  Green Bay      -4
3.  Philadelphia   -4
5.  San Francisco  -3.5
5.  Tampa Bay      -3.5
7.  LA Chargers    -3
8.  Baltimore      -2.5
9.  LA Rams        -2
10. Cincinnati     -1.5
10. Denver         -1.5
10. Las Vegas      -1.5
13. Miami          -1
13. Minnesota      -1
13. New Orleans    -1
16. Indianapolis    0
17. Cleveland       1
18. Arizona         1.5
18. Detroit         1.5
18. New England     1.5
21. Jacksonville    2
21. Tennessee       2
23. Dallas          3.5
23. Pittsburgh      3.5
25. NY Giants       4.5
25. Washington      4.5
27. Carolina        5
27. NY Jets         5
29. Atlanta         6
29. Chicago         6
29. Houston         6
32. Seattle         6.5

NCAA Football Power Ratings

09/20/2022 / / 212 Comments

Power ratings for every FBS football team (updated 9/23/2022)

NOTE: These are power ratings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Rk  Team                  Power
1   Georgia               -30.5
2   Alabama               -28.5
3   Ohio State            -25
4   Michigan              -18
5   Clemson               -16
6   Oklahoma              -15.5
7   Utah                  -15
8   Tennessee             -14
9   Penn State            -13
10  USC                   -12.5
11  Mississippi           -12
12  Minnesota             -11.5
13  Kentucky              -11
14  Arkansas              -10.5
14  Mississippi State     -10.5
14  Washington            -10.5
17  Oklahoma State        -10
18  Florida State         -9.5
18  North Carolina State  -9.5
18  Oregon                -9.5
18  Texas                 -9.5
22  Baylor                -9
22  Texas A&M             -9
24  Cincinnati            -8.5
24  Florida               -8.5
24  LSU                   -8.5
24  Wisconsin             -8.5
28  Michigan State        -8
28  Wake Forest           -8
30  BYU                   -7.5
30  Notre Dame            -7.5
30  TCU                   -7.5
33  Iowa                  -6.5
33  UCLA                  -6.5
35  Air Force             -6
35  Kansas State          -6
35  Maryland              -6
38  Iowa State            -5.5
38  Miami                 -5.5
40  Auburn                -4.5
40  Nebraska              -4.5
40  Oregon State          -4.5
40  Pittsburgh            -4.5
44  North Carolina        -4
44  UCF                   -4
44  West Virginia         -4
47  Boise State           -3.5
47  South Carolina        -3.5
49  SMU                   -3
50  Fresno State          -2.5
50  Louisville            -2.5
52  Appalachian State     -1.5
52  Houston               -1.5
52  Illinois              -1.5
52  Marshall              -1.5
52  Purdue                -1.5
52  Syracuse              -1.5
52  Texas Tech            -1.5
59  East Carolina         -1
59  Missouri              -1
59  Washington State      -1
62  Stanford               0.5
62  UTSA                   0.5
62  Virginia Tech          0.5
65  Arizona State          1
65  Coastal Carolina       1
65  UAB                    1
65  Western Kentucky       1
69  Indiana                1.5
69  South Alabama          1.5
71  Rutgers                2
71  Toledo                 2
73  Boston College         2.5
73  California             2.5
73  Kansas                 2.5
73  Memphis                2.5
77  Tulane                 3.5
77  Virginia               3.5
79  Liberty                4
80  Arizona                4.5
80  Louisiana              4.5
82  James Madison          5
82  Northwestern           5
82  Tulsa                  5
85  Army                   5.5
85  Troy                   5.5
87  Central Michigan       6.5
87  Georgia State          6.5
87  San Diego State        6.5
87  San Jose State         6.5
91  Duke                   7
92  Vanderbilt             8
93  Old Dominion           8.5
93  Western Michigan       8.5
95  Florida Atlantic       9
95  North Texas            9
95  Northern Illinois      9
98  UNLV                   10
99  Georgia Southern       10.5
99  South Florida          10.5
101 Buffalo                11
101 Georgia Tech           11
103 Colorado State         11.5
103 Eastern Michigan       11.5
103 Navy                   11.5
103 Wyoming                11.5
107 Arkansas State         12
108 Kent State             12.5
108 Miami Ohio             12.5
110 Louisiana Tech         13
111 UTEP                   13.5
112 Colorado               14
113 Southern Miss          14.5
114 Nevada                 15
114 Ohio                   15
116 Rice                   15.5
117 Texas State            16
118 Ball State             16.5
118 Utah State             16.5
120 Bowling Green          17.5
120 New Mexico             17.5
122 Middle Tennessee       18.5
123 Louisiana-Monroe       19
123 Temple                 19
125 Charlotte              21
126 Massachusetts          25
127 Connecticut            27
127 New Mexico State       27
129 Florida International  28
130 Hawaii                 28.5
131 Akron                  29

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