Author: TDH (Page 2 of 2)

NFL Power Ratings

09/14/2022 / / 358 Comments

As of 9/13/2022

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it.

Rk  Team            Power
1   Buffalo         -8
2   Kansas City     -5.5
3   Baltimore       -4
3   Tampa Bay       -4
5   Denver          -3
5   LA Chargers     -3
5   LA Rams         -3
8   Cincinnati      -2.5
8   Philadelphia    -2.5
8   San Francisco   -2.5
11  Green Bay       -2
11  Minnesota       -2
13  Indianapolis    -1.5
13  Miami           -1.5
15  Las Vegas       -1
16  New Orleans     -0.5
17  New England      0
17  Tennessee        0
19  Cleveland        1
20  Arizona          2.5
20  NY Giants        2.5
22  Detroit          3
22  Pittsburgh       3
22  Washington       3
25  Carolina         3.5
26  Jacksonville     4
27  NY Jets          4.5
28  Chicago          5
28  Dallas           5
28  Seattle          5
31  Atlanta          5.5
31  Houston          5.5

NCAA FBS Power Ratings

09/14/2022 / / 107 Comments

Power rankings for every FBS football team (as of 9/13/2022)

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Rk   Team                   Power
1    Georgia                -29.5
2    Alabama                -26.5
3    Ohio State             -24
4    Michigan               -15.5
5    Clemson                -15
6    Oklahoma               -14.5
7    Utah                   -13.5
8    Tennessee              -13
9    Michigan State         -12.5
10   USC                    -12
11   Arkansas               -11
12   Oklahoma State         -10.5
13   Mississippi            -10
13   Mississippi State      -10
13   North Carolina State   -10
13   Penn State             -10
17   Kentucky               -9.5
18   Wake Forest            -9
18   Washington             -9
20   Baylor                 -8.5
20   BYU                    -8.5
20   Florida                -8.5
20   Minnesota              -8.5
24   Cincinnati             -8
24   Florida State          -8
24   Texas                  -8
24   Texas A&M              -8
28   Kansas State           -7.5
28   Notre Dame             -7.5
30   Wisconsin              -7
31   LSU                    -6.5
32   Miami                  -6
32   Oregon                 -6
34   Air Force              -5.5
34   Oregon State           -5.5
34   UCLA                   -5.5
37   Auburn                 -5
37   Maryland               -5
37   Pittsburgh             -5
37   SMU                    -5
37   TCU                    -5
42   Appalachian State      -4.5
43   Arizona State          -4
43   Houston                -4
43   South Carolina         -4
46   Coastal Carolina       -3.5
46   Iowa State             -3.5
46   Louisville             -3.5
46   Nebraska               -3.5
46   North Carolina         -3.5
49   Purdue                 -3.5
52   Fresno State           -3
52   Iowa                   -3
52   Texas Tech             -3
55   UCF                    -2.5
55   West Virginia          -2.5
57   Boise State            -2
57   Marshall               -2
57   Washington State       -2
60   Indiana                -1.5
61   East Carolina          -1
61   Illinois               -1
61   Missouri               -1
61   UTSA                   -1
65   Virginia Tech          -0.5
66   Boston College          0
66   California              0
66   Syracuse                0
69   Louisiana               0.5
70   Liberty                 1
70   Rutgers                 1
70   UAB                     1
70   Virginia                1
74   Stanford                1.5
74   Toledo                  1.5
76   Memphis                 2.5
76   Western Kentucky        2.5
78   Duke                    3
79   Kansas                  4
79   San Diego State         4
79   Tulane                  4
79   Tulsa                   4
83   Northwestern            4.5
84   Arizona                 5.5
84   Central Michigan        5.5
86   Army                    6
86   Troy                    6
88   Vanderbilt              6.5
88   Western Michigan        6.5
90   Georgia Tech            7
90   James Madison           7
92   Florida Atlantic        7.5
92   Georgia State           7.5
94   Miami Ohio              8
94   Northern Illinois       8
94   South Alabama           8
94   UNLV                    8
98   North Texas             8.5
98   Old Dominion            8.5
100  Utah State              9
101  South Florida           9.5
102  Colorado                10
102  Georgia Southern        10
104  San Jose State          11
104  Wyoming                 11
106  Navy                    11.5
107  Buffalo                 12
108  Nevada                  12.5
109  Kent State              13.5
110  Colorado State          14
110  UTEP                    14
112  Arkansas State          14.5
113  Eastern Michigan        15
113  Louisiana Tech          15
113  New Mexico              15
113  Ohio                    15
117  Southern Miss           15.5
118  Bowling Green           16
118  Texas State             16
120  Ball State              16.5
121  Middle Tennessee        18.5
122  Rice                    19.5
123  Charlotte               20
123  Temple                  20
125  Louisiana-Monroe        22
126  New Mexico State        25.5
127  Connecticut             26
127  Florida International   26
129  Akron                   28.5
130  Hawaii                  29
131  Massachusetts           31

Football on TV (Sept. 10-12)

09/10/2022 / / 265 Comments

All times are PDT, because that’s Vegas time. Times and networks are subject to change, so don’t blame me if you miss kickoff.

College

SATURDAY

Alabama at Texas, 9 a.m., FOX
Arkansas State at Ohio State, 9 a.m., Big Ten Network
Southern Miss at Miami, 9 a.m., ACC Network
South Carolina at Arkansas, 9 a.m., ESPN
Wake Forest at Vanderbilt, 9 a.m., SEC Network
Missouri at Kansas State, 9 a.m., ESPN2
Western Illinois at Minnesota, 9 a.m., Big Ten Network
Duke at Northwestern, 9 a.m., FS1
Ohio at Penn State, 9 a.m., ABC
North Carolina at Georgia State, 9 a.m., ESPNU
UTSA at Army, 9 a.m., CBSSN
Charleston Southern at NC State, 9:30 a.m., ESPN3
South Alabama at Central Michigan, 10 a.m., ESPN+
Virginia Lynchburg at Presbyterian, 10 a.m., ESPN+
Southern Utah at Utah, 10:30 a.m., Pac-12 Network
Bucknell at VMI, 10:30 a.m., ESPN+
Lafayette at Temple, 11 a.m., ESPN+
Western Michigan at Ball State, 11 a.m., ESPN+
Dayton at Youngstown State, 11 a.m., ESPN+
Missouri S&T at Drake, 11 a.m., ESPN3
Marshall at Notre Dame, 11:30 a.m., NBC/Peacock
Morehead State at Montana State, Noon, ESPN+
Furman at Clemson, 12:30 p.m., ACC Network
Appalachian State at Texas A&M, 12:30 p.m., ESPN2
Tennessee at Pitt, 12:30 p.m., ABC
Washington State at Wisconsin, 12:30 p.m., FOX
Kennesaw State at Cincinnati, 12:30 p.m., ESPN+
Colorado at Air Force, 12:30 p.m., CBS
Memphis at Navy, 12:30 p.m., CBSSN
Maryland at Charlotte, 12:30 p.m., Stadium
South Dakota at Montana, 12:30 p.m., ESPN+
North Carolina A&T at North Dakota State, 12:30 p.m., ESPN+
UNLC at Cal, 1 p.m., Pac-12 Networks
Portland State at Washington, 1 p.m., Pac-12 Washington
Northern Colorado at Wyoming, 1 p.m., MW Network
Samford at Georgia, 1 p.m., SEC Network
Akron at Michigan State, 1 p.m., Big Ten Network
Houston at Texas Tech, 1 p.m., FS1
Iowa State at Iowa, 1 p.m., Big Ten Network
Virginia at Illinois, 1 p.m., ESPNU
Indiana State at Purdue, 1 p.m., Big Ten Network
Wagner at Rutgers, 1 p.m., Big Ten Network
Eastern Kentucky at Bowling Green, 1 p.m., ESPN3
Norfolk State at James Madison, 1 p.m., ESPN3
Mississippi Valley State at Austin Peay, 1 p.m., ESPN+
UNI at North Dakota, 1 p.m., ESPN3
East Tennessee State at The Citadel, 1 p.m., ESPN+
South Carolina State at Bethune-Cookman, 1 p.m., ESPN+
Alabama State at UCLA, 2 p.m., Pac-12 Network
San Diego at Cal Poly, 2 p.m., ESPN+
Lehigh at Georgetown, 2 p.m., ESPN+
UIW at Nevada, 2:30 p.m., MW Network
Kansas at West Virginia, 3 p.m., ESPN+
Old Dominion at East Carolina, 3 p.m., ESPN+
Holy Cross at Buffalo, 3 p.m., ESPN+
Robert Morris at Miami (the other one), 3 p.m., ESPN3
Gardner-Webb at Coastal Carolina, 3 p.m., ESPN+
SE Louisiana at Florida Atlantic, 3 p.m., ESPN3
UAB at Liberty, 3 p.m., ESPN+
Elon at Wofford, 3 p.m., ESPN3
Winston-Salem at NC Central, 3 p.m., ESPN+
Louisiana Christian at Stetson, 3 p.m., ESPN3
Sacred Heart at Central Connecticut, 3 p.m., ESPN3
Rhode Island at Bryant, 3 p.m., ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Kentucky at Florida, 4 p.m., ESPN
Central Arkansas at Ole Miss, 4 p.m., ESPN+/SEC Network+
Syracuse at UConn, 4 p.m., CBSSN
Western Carolina at Georgia Tech, 4 p.m., ESPN+/ACCNX
UMass at Toledo, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Alcorn State at Tulane, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Lamar at SMU, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Howard at South Florida, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Tulsa, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Louisiana, 4 p.m., NFL Network
Alabama A&M at Troy, 4 p.m., ESPN3
FIU at Texas State, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Stephen F. Austin at Louisiana Tech, 4 p.m., ESPN3
Jacksonville State at Murray State, 4 p.m., ESPN3
Northern Arizona at Sam Houston, 4 p.m., ESPN+
UC Davis at South Dakota State, 4 p.m., ESPN+
UVA Wise at North Alabama, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Lindenwood at Houston Baptist, 4 p.m., ESPN3
Texas A&M-Commerce at Tennessee Tech, 4 p.m., ESPN+
Chattanooga at Eastern Illinois, 4 p.m., ESPN+
SE Missouri State at Southern Illinois, 4 p.m., ESPN3
USC at Stanford, 4:30 p.m., ABC
Arizona State at Oklahoma State, 4:30 p.m., ESPN2
San Jose State at Auburn, 4:30 p.m., ESPNU
Southern at LSU, 4:30 p.m., SEC Network
Georgia Southern at Nebraska, 4:30 p.m., FS1
Texas Southern at North Texas, 4:30 p.m., ESPN3
McNeese at Rice, 4:30 p.m., ESPN3
Valparaiso at Illinois State, 4:30 p.m., ESPN+
Hawai’i at Michigan, 5 p.m., Big Ten Network
Tarleton at TCU, 5 p.m., ESPN+
Idaho at Indiana, 5 p.m., Big Ten Network
Boston College at Virginia Tech, 5 p.m., ACC Network
Nicholls at UL Monroe, 5 p.m., ESPN3
Prairie View A&M at Abilene Christian, 5 p.m., ESPN+
Eastern Washington at Oregon, 5:30 p.m., Pac-12 Network
New Mexico State at UTEP, 6 p.m., ESPN+
Chadron State at Utah Tech, 6 p.m., ESPN+`
Baylor at BYU, 7:12 p.m., ESPN
Oregon State at Fresno State, 7:30 p.m., CBSSN
Mississippi State at Arizona, 8 p.m., FS1

Source: NCAA.com

NFL

SUNDAY

Saints at Falcons, 10 a.m., Fox
Browns at Panthers, 10 a.m., CBS
49ers at Bears, 10 a.m., Fox
Steelers at Bengals, 10 a.m., CBS
Eagles at Lions, 10 a.m., Fox
Colts at Texans, 10 a.m., CBS
Patriots at Dolphins, 10 a.m., CBS
Ravens at Jets, 10 a.m., CBS
Jaguars at Commanders, 10 a.m., Fox
Giants at Titans, 1:25 p.m., Fox
Chiefs at Cardinals, 1:25 p.m., CBS
Raiders at Chargers, 1:25 p.m., CBS
Packers at Vikings, 1:25 p.m., Fox
Buccaneers at Cowboys, 5:20 p.m., NBC/Universe

MONDAY

Broncos at Seahawks, 5:15 p.m., ESPN/ABC/ESPN2/ESPN Deportes

Source: NFL.com

Games to watch in Week 2

09/07/2022 / / 337 Comments

I know all you lazy sports fans are preparing for a weekend of lounging on the couch, a beer and a snack always within arm’s reach. And non-stop football on the tube, of course.

This lazy sports fan will be right there with you. Here are games of note that I am paying attention to for Week 2 of the 2022 college football season.

Odds are current at the time of writing.

Louisville at UCF (-5.5) (Friday)

It’s a short turnaround with lots of travel for Louisville, playing in Orlando six days after a night game in Syracuse. Tough way to turn things around after an opening-game debacle for the Cardinals.

We may find something out about three teams in this game: the two combatants and Syracuse. Is Louisville that bad? If not, does that mean Syracuse is as good as its 31-7 drubbing of the Cards suggest?

And what of UCF? The Knights are facing their first game against teams not named South Carolina State. Is Louisville just another patsy, or will the Cards put up a fight?

North Carolina (-7.5) at Georgia State

Who is the dolt making North Carolina’s schedule? In the near future, when there are but two major football conferences remaining, both the top dog leagues may well tell the Tar Heels to pound sand for the crime of scheduling back-to-back road games against Sun Belt teams.

UNC escaped with a frantic 63-61 win over Appalachian State last week. And while Georgia State is not as good as App State, the Panthers are no pushover.

I have no idea what happens in this game and might not care as much if not for the scheduling inanity.

Duke at Northwestern (-10)

Not surprisingly, most of the money is coming in on Northwestern after its win in Ireland against Nebraska. I am unconvinced that the Wildcats are much improved since a year ago.

And I kind of think Duke is a little bit better than most folks think. I believe I made the line -6.5, so I am opening myself up to looking foolish here.

South Carolina at Arkansas (-8.5)

I really thought Arkansas got exposed in the back end of its defense by Cincinnati last week. Question is, can South Carolina take advantage of the shortcomings of the Hogs’ secondary?

Spencer Rattler did nothing to dispel the notion that he is the kind of QB that keeps both teams in the game, as Paul “Dr. Z” Zimmerman was fond of saying.

I thought both teams would be better this season than they looked last week. I am always warning you lazy fools not to place too much emphasis on one game, so I am going to play close attention here to see what’s what.

Vanderbilt at Wake Forest (-13)

Why am I looking forward to what looks like a real stinker of a game? Because I have a soft spot in my heart for Vandy, forever pulling up the rear in the meat grinder that is the SEC.

The ‘Dores have an outside shot at moving to 3-0, surpassing the win total of the entire 2021 season. And thay have been able to put points on the board, even if it has come against Hawaii and Elon.

Alabama (-20) at Texas

Aside from the two big names facing off, I am curious to see if one of my pet plays comes through for me here. The line opened at -18, which is right where I have it, but has since ballooned to -20.

Whenever I see a line move by two or more points on air, the contrarian in me shows his ugly mug. I don’t give the Longhorns much chance of winning outright, but covering the number seems doable.

Also, this is the first time the Tide have played a road game against a non-conference foe since 1911. (Editor’s note: It’s actually 2011.)

Tennessee (-6.5) at Pittsburgh

I was hoping to get a better number even than the -4.5 where this game opened. Now it has moved two points in the wrong direction, pitting one of my pet moves (see above) against what my eyes tell me.

Maybe I am too high on the Vols, but I see them outscoring most of their opponents in some wild games, maybe even knocking off one of this season’s two behemoths, Alabama and Georgia.

Pitt seemed pretty “meh” to me last week.

Iowa State at Iowa (-3.5)

The total opened at 41.5, the lowest on the board, and promptly went down to 40.5.

That tells me fans were paying attention as Iowa used two safeties and a field goal to defeat South Dakota State last Saturday.

Iowa State has a new QB and a new RB, so the low total is understandable. Therefore, this has all the markings of a 51-48 game.

Kentucky at Florida (-6)

Every season of late, I feel like Kentucky is overrated, that the Wildcats simply don’t have enough athletes to stay with the likes of Florida.

And the Wildcats consistently prove me wrong.

Kentucky was unimpressive last week against Miami (the other one), leading just 13-10 at the half before winning handily. The Wildcats had all sorts of trouble running the ball.

Still, Florida is coming off an emotional win over highly ranked Utah, and maybe the ‘Cats can catch the Gators napping.

Florida is a bit better than I originally thought, but I still feel like the Gators were mostly outplayed by the Utes.

This one could be fun.

Mississippi State (-10.5) at Arizona

The Bulldogs are traveling across country to play a game starting at 10 p.m. Central time. And they are laying 10.5 against an improved Arizona squad.

I have doubts about MSU covering that spread, which opened at -7.5. Here’s your chance to recoup the day’s losses with a late West Coast game.

Also, I cannot stand Mike Leach so caveat emptor. Always, caveat emptor.

NCAA FBS Power Ratings

09/07/2022 / / 7,124 Comments

Power rankings for every FBS football team (as of 9/5/2022)

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each team at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking, such as the Associated Press Top 25. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. Looking at you, Kirk Herbstreit.

The power rating for each team is my take on what the point spread would be on a neutral field against an average team.

Rk  Team                   Power
1   Alabama               -30.5
2   Georgia               -28.5
3   Ohio State            -24.5
4   Michigan              -16
5   Oklahoma              -16
6   Texas A&M             -15.5
7   Clemson               -13.5
8   Notre Dame            -13.5
9   Utah                  -12.5
10  Michigan State        -12
11  Tennessee             -12
12  Wisconsin             -12
13  USC                   -11.5
14  North Carolina State  -10.5
15  Arkansas              -10
16  Florida               -10
17  Oklahoma State        -9.5
18  Texas                 -9.5
19  LSU                   -9
20  Penn State            -9
21  Baylor                -8.5
22  BYU                   -8.5
23  Mississippi           -8.5
24  Mississippi State     -8.5
25  Kentucky              -7.5
26  Auburn                -7
27  Florida State         -7
28  Maryland              -7
29  Miami                 -7
30  Minnesota             -7
31  Oregon                -7
32  UCF                   -7
33  Washington            -7
34  Cincinnati            -6.5
35  Kansas State          -6.5
36  Iowa                  -6
37  Iowa State            -6
38  UCLA                  -6
39  Nebraska              -5.5
40  SMU                   -5.5
41  TCU                   -5.5
42  Purdue                -5
43  South Carolina        -5
44  Houston               -4
45  Louisville            -4
46  North Carolina        -4
47  Oregon State          -4
48  Pittsburgh            -4
49  Texas Tech            -4
50  Wake Forest           -4
51  Appalachian State     -3.5
52  UAB                   -3.5
53  Air Force             -3
54  Fresno State          -2.5
55  West Virginia         -2.5
56  Arizona State         -2
57  Liberty               -2
58  Coastal Carolina      -1.5
59  Missouri              -1.5
60  Boise State           -1
61  Washington State      -1
62  Boston College        -0.5
63  California            -0.5
64  Illinois               0
65  Virginia               0
66  Virginia Tech          0
67  Toledo                 0.5
68  UTSA                   0.5
69  East Carolina          1
70  Syracuse               1
71  Tulane                 1
72  Louisiana              1.5
73  San Diego State        1.5
74  Stanford               1.5
75  Rutgers                2
76  Tulsa                  2
77  Marshall               2.5
78  Memphis                2.5
79  Arizona                3.5
80  Indiana                3.5
81  Northwestern           4
82  Central Michigan       5
83  Army                   5.5
84  Miami Ohio             5.5
85  Vanderbilt             5.5
86  Western Kentucky       6
87  Western Michigan       6
88  Duke                   7
89  North Texas            7
90  Utah State             7
91  Colorado               7.5
92  Georgia Tech           7.5
93  Kansas                 7.5
94  Nevada                 7.5
95  Georgia State          8
96  James Madison          8.5
97  Northern Illinois      8.5
98  South Alabama          8.5
99  Old Dominion           9
100 Florida Atlantic       9.5
101 Troy                   9.5
102 UNLV                   10
103 Buffalo                10.5
104 Wyoming                10.5
105 Navy                   11
106 San Jose State         11
107 South Florida          11
108 Colorado State         12
109 Georgia Southern       12.5
110 Kent State             13
111 Eastern Michigan       13.5
112 Louisiana Tech         13.5
113 Ball State             14.5
114 UTEP                   14.5
115 New Mexico             15
116 Texas State            15
117 Arkansas State         16
118 Southern Miss          16
119 Ohio                   16.5
120 Middle Tennessee       17
121 Bowling Green          17.5
122 Temple                 17.5
123 Louisiana-Monroe       19
124 Charlotte              19.5
125 Rice                   20
126 Akron                  24.5
127 Florida International  25
128 Connecticut            25.5
129 New Mexico State       25.5
130 Massachusetts          26.5
131 Hawaii                 29.5

NFL Power Ratings

09/05/2022 / / 23 Comments

Preseason

NOTE: These are power rankings, the type used to create betting lines as you would see in a Vegas-style sportsbook. It is intended to be a numerical reflection of the strength of each time at the time of this writing.

It is not intended to be a ranking based on a team’s performance to date. When done correctly, rankings should tell you where a team sits by virtue of what it has already done. Power ratings tell you where they are at the moment. This information will be repeated until every human on earth understands it. 

1  Buffalo           -7
2  Kansas City       -6
2  Tampa Bay         -6
4  Green Bay         -3.5
4  LA Chargers       -3.5
4  LA Rams           -3.5
7  Baltimore         -3
7  Cincinnati        -3
7  San Francisco     -3
10 Denver            -2.5
10 Indianapolis      -2.5
12 Dallas            -2
13 Las Vegas         -1.5
14 Philadelphia      -1
15 Miami             -0.5
15 New England       -0.5
15 New Orleans       -0.5
18 Arizona           0
18 Minnesota         0
18 Tennessee         0
21 Pittsburgh        2
22 Cleveland         2.5
23 Carolina          3
23 Washington        3
25 Jacksonville      4.5
26 Chicago           5
26 Detroit           5
26 NY Giants         5
26 Seattle           5
30 NY Jets           5.5
31 Atlanta           7
31 Houston           7

Here’s the key to read these numbers. The number to the left of the team name is its ranking. The number to the right is the estimated point spread against an average NFL team on a neutral field.

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